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Big TenGolden Gophers

Minnesota

Next: vs IowaOct 24

Rank

60th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+2.9

90% range −4.8 to 10.7

Offense

26.0

73rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

23.0

47th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

5.5–6.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 3 · 8:00 PM ET vs Eastern Illinois W 59–7
Rating change+0.4
Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET vs Mississippi State L 13–38
Rating change−3.8
Wk 3Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET vs Akron W 41–7
Rating change+0.6
Wk 4Sep 26 · 11:00 PM ET at Washington W 27–24
Rating change+1.0
Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 Michigan W 20–14
Rating change+0.9
Wk 6Oct 10 · 8:00 PM ET at Purdue L 13–41
Rating change−3.4
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#15 Iowa Win 22%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#8 Indiana Est. 7%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 UCLA Est. 28%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at Penn State Est. 27%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs Northwestern Est. 36%
Wk 13Nov 27 · 7:30 PM ET at Wisconsin Est. 27%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
5.5–6.5
Conference record
3.5–5.5
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
0%
Reach the final
0%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten70 of 136−0.923.124.08–5—
2024Big Ten16 of 13415.530.915.38–5—
2023Big Ten63 of 1330.125.625.56–7—
2022Big Ten21 of 13111.429.317.99–4—
2021Big Ten23 of 13010.129.219.29–4—
2020Big Ten41 of 1275.532.126.53–4—
2019Big Ten15 of 13017.438.120.811–2—
2018Big Ten34 of 1307.831.323.57–6—
2017Big Ten77 of 130−3.823.927.75–7—
2016Big Ten37 of 1287.430.723.39–4—
2015Big Ten60 of 1282.329.427.16–7—

Profile

MINN offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com