MACBobcats

Ohio

Next: vs Eastern MichiganOct 24

Rank

81st

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−4.6

90% range −12.2 to 2.9

Offense

22.8

84th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

27.5

77th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–2

8.5–3.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 5–2

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET at#22

Nebraska L 21–49

Rating change−0.6

Wk 2Sep 12 · 6:00 PM ET vs

Jacksonville State W 29–27

Rating change−1.2

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET at

South Alabama L 36–41

Rating change+0.4

Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Stonehill W 35–7

Rating change+0.7

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET at

Kent State W 13–10

Rating change−0.5

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Central Michigan W 31–14

Rating change+2.2

Wk 7Oct 17 · 10:00 PM ET at

Sacramento State W 48–7

Rating change+2.4

Wk 8Oct 24 · 4:00 PM ET vs

Eastern Michigan Win 83%

Playoff

Wk 10Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET at

Akron Est. 79%

Wk 11Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET at

Miami (OH) Est. 53%

Wk 12Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Ball State Est. 86%

Wk 13Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Toledo Est. 51%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 8.5–3.5
Conference record: 6.5–1.5

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 57%
Win the conference: 30%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Ohiovs EMU Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	83 of 136	−5.0	22.2	27.2	9–4	—
2024	MAC	59 of 134	2.1	25.0	22.9	11–3	—
2023	MAC	74 of 133	−2.1	23.3	25.4	10–3	—
2022	MAC	88 of 131	−6.0	25.5	31.5	10–4	—
2021	MAC	110 of 130	−11.6	21.1	32.7	3–9	—
2020	MAC	90 of 127	−6.0	25.8	31.8	2–1	—
2019	MAC	62 of 130	0.1	31.3	31.2	7–6	—
2018	MAC	39 of 130	7.0	35.7	28.7	9–4	—
2017	MAC	61 of 130	1.6	31.3	29.7	9–4	—
2016	MAC	87 of 128	−6.9	21.5	28.4	8–6	—
2015	MAC	92 of 128	−5.7	26.2	31.9	8–5	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

OHIO offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles