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SECSooners

Oklahoma

Next: at Mississippi StateOct 24

Rank

19th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+15.8

90% range 8.3 to 23.4

Offense

30.3

40th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

14.5

8th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

6.2–5.8 projected over the regular season

Playoff

3%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 4 · 8:00 PM ET vs UTEP W 51–0
Rating change−0.4
Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#21 Michigan L 10–17
Rating change−0.2
Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET vs New Mexico W 14–6
Rating change−1.6
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#2 Georgia L 13–41
Rating change−0.3
Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#8 TexasNeutral W 27–24
Rating change+0.3
Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET vs Kentucky L 13–21
Rating change−1.7
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET at Mississippi State Win 58%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 4:15 PM ET vs South Carolina Est. 67%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#24 Florida Est. 49%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#7 Ole Miss Est. 40%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#25 Texas A&M Est. 63%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#22 Missouri Est. 48%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
6.2–5.8
Conference record
4.2–4.8
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
<1%
Conference title game
4%
Win the conference
1%
Reach the quarterfinal
1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025SEC14 of 13618.832.113.410–3Seed8
2024SEC29 of 13412.631.118.56–7—
2023Big 1211 of 13319.040.921.910–3—
2022Big 1227 of 1319.034.925.86–7—
2021Big 1211 of 13015.339.424.111–2—
2020Big 124 of 12728.145.317.39–2—
2019Big 129 of 13019.843.824.012–2Seed4
2018Big 125 of 13021.350.729.412–2Seed4
2017Big 125 of 13025.349.123.812–2Seed2
2016Big 128 of 12823.847.223.411–2—
2015Big 125 of 12820.741.220.511–2Seed4

Profile

OU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com