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Big 12Cowboys

Oklahoma State

Next: vs ColoradoOct 24

Rank

38th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+8.9

90% range 0.7 to 17.2

Offense

32.1

30th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

23.2

49th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

7.0–5.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

2%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:45 PM ET at Tulsa L 10–24
Rating change−3.5
Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#2 Oregon W 39–31
Rating change+8.2
Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs Murray State W 59–0
Rating change+2.7
Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET at West Virginia W 41–24
Rating change+2.5
Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET vs UCF W 42–28
Rating change+1.4
Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#23 Houston L 32–35
Rating change+1.2
Wk 8Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET vs Colorado Win 63%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 7:00 PM ET at Iowa State Est. 53%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at Kansas State Est. 43%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#12 Texas Tech Est. 31%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at Arizona State Est. 58%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs Kansas Est. 57%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
7.0–5.0
Conference record
5.0–4.0
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
4%
Win the conference
1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big 1290 of 136−7.820.328.11–11—
2024Big 1269 of 134−0.928.629.63–9—
2023Big 1236 of 1337.833.025.310–4—
2022Big 1256 of 1312.328.025.77–6—
2021Big 124 of 13020.336.115.812–2—
2020Big 1219 of 12713.735.321.68–3—
2019Big 1236 of 1307.532.124.68–5—
2018Big 1224 of 13010.440.129.87–6—
2017Big 1214 of 13016.044.828.810–3—
2016Big 1212 of 12816.439.923.510–3—
2015Big 1254 of 1284.037.033.010–3—

Profile

OKST offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com