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Big TenDucks

Oregon

Next: at IllinoisOct 24

Rank

10th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+22.2

90% range 14.6 to 29.8

Offense

37.9

8th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

15.7

12th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

8.3–3.7 projected over the regular season

Playoff

28%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET vs Boise State W 34–27
Rating change−2.3
Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET at Oklahoma State L 31–39
Rating change−4.9
Wk 3Sep 18 · 10:30 PM ET vs Portland State W 84–0
Rating change+2.5
Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#13 USC W 41–27
Rating change+1.1
Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#24 UCLA L 15–17
Rating change−2.2
Wk 7Oct 17 · 11:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#16 Nebraska W 17–14
Rating change−0.3
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:00 PM ET at Illinois Win 79%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · Time TBD vs Northwestern Est. 81%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#1 Ohio State Est. 26%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs Michigan Est. 78%
Wk 12Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ET at Michigan State Est. 85%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs Washington Est. 85%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
8.4–3.6
Conference record
6.4–2.6
Make the playoff
28%
First-round bye
6%
Conference title game
20%
Win the conference
10%
Reach the quarterfinal
18%
Reach the semifinal
9%
Reach the final
5%
Win it all
2%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten4 of 13629.542.212.713–2Seed5
2024Big Ten5 of 13424.541.216.713–1Seed1
2023Pac-122 of 13330.743.913.312–2—
2022Pac-1215 of 13114.837.222.510–3—
2021Pac-1233 of 1308.033.225.210–4—
2020Pac-1212 of 12716.436.820.54–3—
2019Pac-1212 of 13019.036.717.712–2—
2018Pac-1241 of 1306.833.126.39–4—
2017Pac-1230 of 13010.036.826.87–6—
2016Pac-1265 of 128−0.337.938.24–8—
2015Pac-1220 of 12812.446.033.69–4—

Profile

ORE offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com