Pac-12Aztecs

San Diego State

Next: at Colorado StateOct 24

Rank

100th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−9.1

90% range −16.3 to −1.9

Offense

21.2

99th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

30.3

98th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–4

4.7–6.3 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

11 games, 3–4

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 9:30 PM ET vs

Portland State W 53–20

Rating change−3.6

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:15 PM ET at

UCLA L 10–28

Rating change−1.2

Wk 3Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET vs

James Madison L 13–26

Rating change−2.4

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Toledo L 16–41

Rating change−1.8

Wk 5Oct 3 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Texas State W 31–29

Rating change−0.5

Wk 6Oct 10 · 6:00 PM ET at

Oregon State L 14–66

Rating change−4.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Fresno State W 26–23

Rating change+1.1

Wk 8Oct 24 · 6:30 PM ET at

Colorado State Win 60%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Washington State Est. 49%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET vs

Utah State Est. 46%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 9:30 PM ET at

Boise State Est. 11%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.9–7.1
Conference record: 3.6–3.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 8%
Win the conference: 1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Mountain West	69 of 136	−0.2	22.2	22.4	9–4	—
2024	Mountain West	126 of 134	−18.5	16.0	34.5	3–9	—
2023	Mountain West	108 of 133	−12.1	17.5	29.6	4–8	—
2022	Mountain West	83 of 131	−5.0	19.9	24.9	7–6	—
2021	Mountain West	64 of 130	0.7	24.5	23.8	12–2	—
2020	Mountain West	68 of 127	−1.0	22.3	23.2	4–4	—
2019	Mountain West	55 of 130	2.2	19.8	17.7	10–3	—
2018	Mountain West	89 of 130	−5.8	19.7	25.5	7–6	—
2017	Mountain West	52 of 130	3.7	29.6	25.9	10–3	—
2016	Mountain West	40 of 128	6.6	30.9	24.3	11–3	—
2015	Mountain West	21 of 128	12.3	31.5	19.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

SDSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles