Fresno State at San Diego State
Final
FRES62% SDSU38%
Missed TEMPO had FRES by 4.8. SDSU won by 3.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOFRES by 4.82.7 pts toward SDSU vs the line | Market lineFRES by 7.5Opened: FRES by 8.3 | FinalSDSU by 3.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO49.12.8 pts over the line | Market line46.3Opened: 44.3 | Final49 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 7.8 points
- Total miss
- 0.1 points
- Market margin miss
- 10.5 points
- Market total miss
- 2.8 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | FRES | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| Finishing drives | 4.80 | 3.25 |
| EPA/play | −0.09 | −0.04 |
| Success rate | 44.6% | 41.9% |
| Rush success | 55.9% | 45.9% |
| Pass success | 33.3% | 39.1% |
| Yards per play | 4.03 | 4.61 |
| Explosive plays | 9.2% | 11.3% |
| Havoc | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| Pace | 65.0 | 62.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range