Sun BeltGolden Eagles

Southern Miss

Next: vs LouisianaOct 24

Rank

121st

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−16.0

90% range −24.0 to −7.9

Offense

19.7

108th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

35.7

129th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

1–5

3.1–8.9 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 1–5

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 5:00 PM ET vs

Alcorn State W 49–3

Rating change+3.6

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:45 PM ET at

Auburn L 8–43

Rating change−0.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UConn L 20–48

Rating change−3.5

Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET at

Tulane L 21–24

Rating change+2.6

Wk 6Oct 6 · 8:00 PM ET at

Troy L 34–55

Rating change−1.3

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Arkansas State L 13–23

Rating change−0.1

Wk 8Oct 24 · 5:00 PM ET vs

Louisiana Win 29%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET at

UL Monroe Est. 62%

Wk 10Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET vs

James Madison Est. 16%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at

Louisiana Tech Est. 18%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

South Alabama Est. 46%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at

Old Dominion Est. 41%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 3.1–8.9
Conference record: 2.1–5.9

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: <1%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	113 of 136	−13.9	20.0	33.9	7–6	—
2024	Sun Belt	131 of 134	−27.2	12.9	40.1	1–11	—
2023	Sun Belt	114 of 133	−13.8	21.1	35.0	3–9	—
2022	Sun Belt	90 of 131	−6.3	21.2	27.6	7–6	—
2021	C-USA	119 of 130	−17.1	16.2	33.3	3–9	—
2020	C-USA	110 of 127	−14.7	22.0	36.7	3–7	—
2019	C-USA	76 of 130	−3.7	24.4	28.1	7–6	—
2018	C-USA	87 of 130	−5.3	23.9	29.2	6–5	—
2017	C-USA	81 of 130	−4.8	27.6	32.4	8–5	—
2016	C-USA	75 of 128	−4.3	29.7	33.9	7–6	—
2015	C-USA	38 of 128	7.6	38.1	30.5	9–5	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

USM offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles