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Big 12Horned Frogs

TCU

Next: vs West VirginiaOct 24

Rank

37th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+9.2

90% range 1.3 to 17.1

Offense

27.6

64th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

18.4

25th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

5.8–6.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Aug 29 · 12:00 PM ET vs North CarolinaAer Lingus College Football Classic L 10–15
Rating change−3.2
Wk 2Sep 12 · 8:00 PM ET vs Grambling W 63–7
Rating change+1.0
Wk 3Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET vs Arkansas State W 31–7
Rating change+0.6
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET at UCF L 13–21
Rating change−0.5
Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#19 BYU L 10–17
Rating change+1.0
Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET at Baylor W 17–6
Rating change+2.1
Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET vs West Virginia Win 82%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET vs Kansas Est. 58%
Wk 10Nov 6 · 10:15 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#21 Arizona Est. 31%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs Kansas State Est. 58%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#11 Utah Est. 30%
Wk 13Nov 26 · 8:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#12 Texas Tech Est. 21%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
5.8–6.2
Conference record
3.8–5.2
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big 1238 of 13610.132.021.99–4—
2024Big 1224 of 13413.835.021.19–4—
2023Big 1229 of 1339.433.824.45–7—
2022Big 1225 of 1319.937.327.413–2Seed3
2021Big 1268 of 1300.430.730.45–7—
2020Big 1218 of 12713.734.520.76–4—
2019Big 1232 of 1307.930.923.05–7—
2018Big 1240 of 1306.926.119.27–6—
2017Big 1210 of 13018.435.717.311–3—
2016Big 1229 of 1288.532.423.96–7—
2015Big 1213 of 12815.238.923.711–2—

Profile

TCU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com