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Big 12Knights

UCF

Next: vs BYUOct 24

Rank

50th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+5.8

90% range −2.2 to 13.8

Offense

27.9

63rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

22.1

42nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

5.8–6.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET vs Bethune-Cookman W 73–6
Rating change+2.3
Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET at Pittsburgh L 7–12
Rating change−0.7
Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs Georgia State W 44–30
Rating change−2.2
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs TCU W 21–13
Rating change+0.7
Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET at Houston L 17–27
Rating change−0.1
Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET at Oklahoma State L 28–42
Rating change−1.6
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#14 BYU Win 28%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET vs Baylor Est. 51%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at Kansas Est. 35%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs Arizona State Est. 64%
Wk 12Nov 20 · 6:00 PM ET vs Iowa State Est. 59%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at Colorado Est. 42%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
5.8–6.2
Conference record
3.8–5.2
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
0%
Reach the final
0%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big 1277 of 136−2.423.826.25–7—
2024Big 1232 of 13411.234.323.14–8—
2023Big 1243 of 1336.129.823.76–7—
2022American53 of 1312.729.326.69–5—
2021American76 of 130−1.426.928.49–4—
2020American49 of 1274.337.933.66–4—
2019American22 of 13011.538.927.410–3—
2018American29 of 1309.237.228.112–1—
2017American11 of 13016.943.526.613–0—
2016American74 of 128−4.126.130.26–7—
2015American127 of 128−24.815.740.50–12—

Profile

UCF offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com