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Big TenTrojans

USC

Next: at WisconsinOct 24

Rank

16th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+17.4

90% range 9.9 to 25.0

Offense

37.5

10th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

20.0

28th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

6–1

8.6–3.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

20%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Aug 29 · 3:00 PM ET vs San José State W 42–26
Rating change−1.8
Wk 1Sep 4 · 9:00 PM ET vs Fresno State W 39–0
Rating change+2.8
Wk 2Sep 12 · 11:00 PM ET vs Louisiana W 49–30
Rating change−1.5
Wk 3Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET at Rutgers W 42–35
Rating change−1.9
Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#7 Oregon L 27–41
Rating change−0.6
Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET vs Washington W 25–21
Rating change−1.0
Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET at Penn State W 31–23
Rating change+0.5
Wk 8Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET at Wisconsin Win 62%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 7:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#1 Ohio State Est. 27%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#8 Indiana Est. 30%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs Maryland Est. 89%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 UCLA Est. 49%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
8.6–3.4
Conference record
5.6–3.4
Make the playoff
20%
First-round bye
4%
Conference title game
9%
Win the conference
3%
Reach the quarterfinal
12%
Reach the semifinal
5%
Reach the final
2%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten22 of 13614.535.420.99–4—
2024Big Ten15 of 13415.937.821.97–6—
2023Pac-1219 of 13313.542.328.88–5—
2022Pac-1232 of 1318.838.129.311–3—
2021Pac-1261 of 1302.431.429.04–8—
2020Pac-1216 of 12714.837.422.55–1—
2019Pac-1225 of 13010.238.027.98–5—
2018Pac-1236 of 1307.631.523.95–7—
2017Pac-1215 of 13015.335.620.311–3—
2016Pac-129 of 12822.642.620.010–3—
2015Pac-1231 of 1289.634.224.68–6—

Profile

USC offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com