MACBroncos

Western Michigan

Next: at ToledoOct 24

Rank

86th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−5.4

90% range −12.7 to 1.9

Offense

20.6

100th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

26.0

66th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–2

8.4–3.6 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 5–2

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET at#16

Michigan L 12–13

Rating change+1.5

Wk 2Sep 12 · 6:30 PM ET vs

Monmouth W 49–14

Rating change−0.3

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET at

Rice W 28–21

Rating change−1.6

Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Boise State L 7–32

Rating change−1.6

Wk 5Oct 3 · 1:00 PM ET at

Buffalo W 20–17

Rating change−1.2

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Kent State W 38–7

Rating change+1.5

Wk 7Oct 17 · 1:30 PM ET at

Central Michigan W 21–14

Rating change0.0

Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET at

Toledo Win 35%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Bowling Green Est. 86%

Wk 11Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET at

Akron Est. 77%

Wk 12Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Eastern Michigan Est. 81%

Wk 13Nov 24 · Time TBD vs

Miami (OH) Est. 65%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 8.4–3.6
Conference record: 6.4–1.6

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 63%
Win the conference: 30%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Western Michiganat TOL Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	72 of 136	−1.9	22.6	24.5	10–4	—
2024	MAC	111 of 134	−12.8	22.4	35.1	6–7	—
2023	MAC	125 of 133	−17.1	19.3	36.4	4–8	—
2022	MAC	115 of 131	−13.3	16.1	29.4	5–7	—
2021	MAC	32 of 130	8.2	34.6	26.4	8–5	—
2020	MAC	76 of 127	−2.3	32.7	35.0	4–2	—
2019	MAC	86 of 130	−5.6	25.8	31.4	7–6	—
2018	MAC	101 of 130	−10.4	28.7	39.1	7–6	—
2017	MAC	75 of 130	−3.3	29.6	32.9	6–6	—
2016	MAC	27 of 128	9.7	37.3	27.6	13–1	—
2015	MAC	43 of 128	6.5	35.7	29.3	8–5	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

WMU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles