Nevada at North Dakota State
Final
NEV26% NDSU74%
Called TEMPO had NDSU by 9.9. NDSU won by 14.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPONDSU by 9.95.3 pts toward NEV vs the line | Market lineNDSU by 15.3Opened: NDSU by 15.0 | FinalNDSU by 14.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO44.60.2 pts under the line | Market line44.8Opened: 46.3 | Final48 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 4.1 points
- Total miss
- 3.4 points
- Market margin miss
- 1.3 points
- Market total miss
- 3.3 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | NEV | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 1.42 | 2.00 |
| Finishing drives | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| EPA/play | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| Success rate | 29.8% | 40.0% |
| Rush success | 33.3% | 43.2% |
| Pass success | 27.8% | 32.0% |
| Yards per play | 4.88 | 4.59 |
| Explosive plays | 15.8% | 4.3% |
| Havoc | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Pace | 57.0 | 70.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range