Mountain WestWolf Pack

Nevada

Next: vs San José StateOct 24

Rank

107th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−11.8

90% range −19.7 to −4.0

Offense

19.0

111th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

30.9

104th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

2–4

4.6–7.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 2–4

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Western Kentucky W 49–14

Rating change+4.1

Wk 2Sep 12 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Montana State L 7–20

Rating change−1.7

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET at

Middle Tennessee L 20–27

Rating change−1.7

Wk 4Sep 26 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Air Force L 33–36

Rating change0.0

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET at

UTEP W 30–13

Rating change+2.2

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET at

North Dakota State L 17–31

Rating change+0.2

Wk 8Oct 24 · 5:00 PM ET vs

San José State Win 67%

Wk 9Oct 31 · Time TBD at#20

UCLA Est. 3%

Wk 10Nov 6 · 9:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico Est. 29%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at

Northern Illinois Est. 61%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Hawai'i Est. 64%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 9:00 PM ET at

UNLV Est. 36%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.6–7.4
Conference record: 3.6–4.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 2%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Mountain West	119 of 136	−16.6	15.6	32.2	3–9	—
2024	Mountain West	106 of 134	−11.3	20.5	31.8	3–10	—
2023	Mountain West	131 of 133	−22.7	13.3	36.0	2–10	—
2022	Mountain West	126 of 131	−17.9	18.3	36.1	2–10	—
2021	Mountain West	70 of 130	−0.1	31.0	31.0	8–5	—
2020	Mountain West	83 of 127	−4.1	26.0	30.2	7–2	—
2019	Mountain West	107 of 130	−10.6	21.5	32.1	7–6	—
2018	Mountain West	79 of 130	−2.6	26.5	29.1	8–5	—
2017	Mountain West	107 of 130	−11.8	24.2	36.0	3–9	—
2016	Mountain West	106 of 128	−13.0	22.5	35.6	5–7	—
2015	Mountain West	93 of 128	−6.3	24.6	30.9	7–6	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

NEV offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles