Mountain WestBison

North Dakota State

Next: at New MexicoOct 24

Rank

84th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−4.9

90% range −13.4 to 3.6

Offense

20.5

101st: points scored vs an average team

Defense

25.4

62nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

6–1

9.5–2.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 6–1

Schedule

Wk 1Aug 29 · 5:30 PM ET vs

Jacksonville State W 33–7

Rating change+10.5

Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Fordham W 38–0

Rating change−2.7

Wk 2Sep 12 · 10:00 PM ET at

Air Force W 38–32

Rating change−1.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 10:30 PM ET at

Sacramento State W 31–10

Rating change−0.4

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Wyoming W 28–0

Rating change+3.5

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET at

UNLV L 7–13

Rating change−0.3

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Nevada W 31–17

Rating change−0.3

Wk 8Oct 24 · 10:00 PM ET at

New Mexico Win 31%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET vs

UTEP Est. 93%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 11:59 PM ET at

Hawai'i Est. 67%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 4:00 PM ET vs

Northern Illinois Est. 86%

Wk 13Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET at

San José State Est. 69%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 9.5–2.5
Conference record: 6.5–2.5

Make the playoff: 1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 55%
Win the conference: 26%
Reach the quarterfinal: <1%
Reach the semifinal: <1%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

North Dakota Stateat UNM Now1%<1%3%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

NDSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles