Northwestern at Michigan State
Final
NU65% MSU35%
Called TEMPO had NU by 5.8. NU won by 3.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPONU by 5.81.7 pts toward MSU vs the line | Market lineNU by 7.5Opened: NU by 8.5 | FinalNU by 3.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO47.90.6 pts under the line | Market line48.5Opened: 48.0 | Final45 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 2.8 points
- Total miss
- 2.9 points
- Market margin miss
- 4.5 points
- Market total miss
- 3.5 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | NU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.09 | 2.10 |
| Finishing drives | 3.83 | 4.20 |
| EPA/play | 0.03 | −0.03 |
| Success rate | 42.3% | 43.9% |
| Rush success | 40.5% | 42.3% |
| Pass success | 45.5% | 46.7% |
| Yards per play | 5.10 | 4.44 |
| Explosive plays | 16.9% | 7.0% |
| Havoc | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| Pace | 71.0 | 57.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range