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Big TenWildcats

Northwestern

Next: vs RutgersOct 24

Rank

31st

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+11.5

90% range 4.0 to 19.1

Offense

30.1

45th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

18.6

26th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–1

7.8–4.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

6%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 8:00 PM ET vs South Dakota State W 34–18
Rating change−1.4
Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET vs Colorado W 41–7
Rating change+1.7
Wk 4Sep 25 · 8:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#11 Indiana L 23–29
Rating change+0.9
Wk 5Oct 2 · 8:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#23 Penn State W 34–13
Rating change+3.5
Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:30 PM ET vs Ball State W 45–14
Rating change−1.3
Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET at Michigan State W 24–21
Rating change0.0
Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET vs Rutgers Win 82%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#10 Oregon Est. 19%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#15 Iowa Est. 41%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#1 Ohio State Est. 9%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at Minnesota Est. 64%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs Illinois Est. 68%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
7.8–4.2
Conference record
4.8–4.2
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
<1%
Conference title game
2%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
3%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten62 of 1362.524.121.77–6—
2024Big Ten81 of 134−4.622.126.64–8—
2023Big Ten62 of 1330.324.123.98–5—
2022Big Ten92 of 131−6.519.926.41–11—
2021Big Ten111 of 130−12.018.630.63–9—
2020Big Ten20 of 12713.628.615.07–2—
2019Big Ten71 of 130−1.621.022.63–9—
2018Big Ten43 of 1306.228.822.79–5—
2017Big Ten31 of 1309.631.121.510–3—
2016Big Ten35 of 1287.830.122.37–6—
2015Big Ten77 of 128−1.421.923.410–3—

Profile

NU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com