Penn State at Michigan
Final
PSU33% MICH67%
Called TEMPO had MICH by 6.7. MICH won by 3.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOMICH by 6.70.2 pts toward MICH vs the line | Market lineMICH by 6.5Opened: MICH by 6.3 | FinalMICH by 3.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO48.86.3 pts over the line | Market line42.5Opened: 47.0 | Final39 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 3.7 points
- Total miss
- 9.8 points
- Market margin miss
- 3.5 points
- Market total miss
- 3.5 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | PSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| Finishing drives | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| EPA/play | −0.05 | −0.02 |
| Success rate | 39.2% | 39.6% |
| Rush success | 37.0% | 47.1% |
| Pass success | 41.3% | 26.3% |
| Yards per play | 4.43 | 4.74 |
| Explosive plays | 5.4% | 13.2% |
| Havoc | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| Pace | 74.0 | 53.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range