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Big TenWolverines

Michigan

Next: vs IndianaOct 24

Rank

28th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+12.5

90% range 4.7 to 20.4

Offense

30.5

39th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

18.0

22nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

6.7–5.3 projected over the regular season

Playoff

2%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET vs Western Michigan W 13–12
Rating change−2.5
Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#14 Oklahoma W 17–10
Rating change+0.1
Wk 3Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET vs UTEP W 52–17
Rating change0.0
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#18 Iowa L 19–20
Rating change+0.6
Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET at Minnesota L 14–20
Rating change−1.9
Wk 7Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET vs Penn State W 21–18
Rating change−0.7
Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#8 Indiana Win 32%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:30 PM ET at Rutgers Est. 73%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs Michigan State Est. 78%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#10 Oregon Est. 22%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 UCLA Est. 51%
Wk 13Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#1 Ohio State Est. 11%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
6.7–5.3
Conference record
3.7–5.3
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
<1%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten24 of 13613.731.918.39–4—
2024Big Ten14 of 13416.230.514.28–5—
2023Big Ten3 of 13329.840.210.515–0Seed1
2022Big Ten5 of 13122.440.317.913–1Seed2
2021Big Ten5 of 13020.237.717.512–2Seed2
2020Big Ten34 of 1276.934.327.42–4—
2019Big Ten8 of 13022.238.616.59–4—
2018Big Ten6 of 13020.438.217.810–3—
2017Big Ten17 of 13014.732.718.08–5—
2016Big Ten4 of 12826.242.115.910–3—
2015Big Ten8 of 12816.736.419.710–3—

Profile

MICH offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com