ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

21st of 1307–6

Rank

21st

of 130 FBS teams

Rating

+12.6

90% range 3.0 to 22.3

Offense

36.7

15th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

24.0

38th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

7–6

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 7–6

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Aug 31 · 3:30 PM ET vs#17

South CarolinaNeutral W 24–20

Rating change+4.7

Wk 2Sep 7 · 8:00 PM ET vs#24

Miami W 28–25

Rating change+1.0

Wk 3Sep 13 · 6:00 PM ET at

Wake Forest L 18–24

Rating change−1.0

Wk 4Sep 21 · 3:30 PM ET vs

App State L 31–34

Rating change+0.3

Wk 5Sep 28 · 3:30 PM ET vs#3

Clemson L 20–21

Rating change+2.7

Wk 6Oct 5 · 4:00 PM ET at

Georgia Tech W 38–22

Rating change+0.5

Wk 8Oct 19 · 3:30 PM ET at

Virginia Tech L 41–43

Rating change−1.3

Wk 9Oct 26 · 4:00 PM ET vs

Duke W 20–17

Rating change+0.7

Wk 10Nov 2 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Virginia L 31–38

Rating change−0.6

Wk 12Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET at

Pittsburgh L 27–34

Rating change+0.2

Wk 13Nov 23 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Mercer W 56–7

Rating change+2.4

Wk 14Nov 30 · 7:00 PM ET at

NC State W 41–10

Rating change+2.2

PostDec 27 · 12:00 PM ET vs

TempleMILITARY BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN W 55–13

Rating change+3.9

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2019

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles