Sun BeltRed Wolves

Arkansas State

92nd of 1308–5

Rank

92nd

of 130 FBS teams

Rating

−7.5

90% range −17.2 to 2.2

Offense

28.2

59th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

35.7

113th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

8–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 8–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Aug 31 · 7:00 PM ET vs

SMU L 30–37

Rating change−0.8

Wk 2Sep 7 · 10:00 PM ET at

UNLV W 43–17

Rating change+4.0

Wk 3Sep 14 · 12:00 PM ET at#5

Georgia L 0–55

Rating change−3.4

Wk 4Sep 21 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Southern Illinois W 41–28

Rating change−1.3

Wk 5Sep 28 · 6:00 PM ET at

Troy W 50–43

Rating change+1.7

Wk 6Oct 5 · 3:30 PM ET at

Georgia State L 38–52

Rating change−1.9

Wk 8Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Louisiana L 20–37

Rating change−0.9

Wk 9Oct 26 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Texas State W 38–14

Rating change+1.6

Wk 10Nov 2 · 3:30 PM ET at

UL Monroe W 48–41

Rating change−0.5

Wk 12Nov 16 · 3:00 PM ET vs

Coastal Carolina W 28–27

Rating change−1.0

Wk 13Nov 23 · 3:00 PM ET vs

Georgia Southern W 38–33

Rating change+2.3

Wk 14Nov 29 · 5:00 PM ET at

South Alabama L 30–34

Rating change−2.0

PostDec 21 · 5:30 PM ET vs

Florida InternationalCAMELLIA BOWL W 34–26

Rating change0.0

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2019

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2018	Sun Belt	70 of 130	0.1	28.2	28.1	8–5	—
2017	Sun Belt	70 of 130	−0.8	30.6	31.4	7–5	—
2016	Sun Belt	71 of 128	−2.3	26.3	28.6	8–5	—
2015	Sun Belt	65 of 128	1.1	36.2	35.1	9–4	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

ARST offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles