ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

15th of 1278–4

Rank

15th

of 127 FBS teams

Rating

+15.0

90% range 6.0 to 24.1

Offense

42.0

6th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

27.0

51st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

8–4

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

12 games, 8–4

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Syracuse W 31–6

Rating change+1.4

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET at

Boston College W 26–22

Rating change−0.9

Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Virginia Tech W 56–45

Rating change+2.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET at

Florida State L 28–31

Rating change−2.2

Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET vs

NC State W 48–21

Rating change+1.6

Wk 9Oct 31 · 8:00 PM ET at

Virginia L 41–44

Rating change−0.5

Wk 10Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET at

Duke W 56–24

Rating change+1.6

Wk 11Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Wake Forest W 59–53

Rating change−1.0

Wk 13Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET vs#7

Notre Dame L 17–31

Rating change−1.2

Wk 14Dec 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Western Carolina W 49–9

Rating change−1.0

Wk 15Dec 12 · 3:30 PM ET at#22

Miami W 62–26

Rating change+3.6

PostJan 2 · 8:00 PM ET vs#7

Texas A&MCapital One Orange Bowl L 27–41

Rating change−0.8

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2020

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2019	ACC	21 of 130	12.6	36.7	24.0	7–6	—
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles