ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

49th of 1319–5

Rank

49th

of 131 FBS teams

Rating

+3.4

90% range −5.7 to 12.4

Offense

32.1

34th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

28.8

78th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

9–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

14 games, 9–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Aug 27 · 8:15 PM ET vs

Florida A&M W 56–24

Rating change−1.8

Wk 1Sep 3 · 12:00 PM ET at

App State W 63–61

Rating change−1.4

Wk 2Sep 10 · 12:00 PM ET at

Georgia State W 35–28

Rating change+0.3

Wk 4Sep 24 · 3:30 PM ET vs#13

Notre Dame L 32–45

Rating change−2.5

Wk 5Oct 1 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Virginia Tech W 41–10

Rating change+2.4

Wk 6Oct 8 · 4:00 PM ET at

Miami W 27–24

Rating change0.0

Wk 7Oct 15 · 8:00 PM ET at

Duke W 38–35

Rating change−0.5

Wk 9Oct 29 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Pittsburgh W 42–24

Rating change+2.1

Wk 10Nov 5 · 12:00 PM ET at

Virginia W 31–28

Rating change0.0

Wk 11Nov 12 · 7:30 PM ET at

Wake Forest W 36–34

Rating change+0.8

Wk 12Nov 19 · 5:30 PM ET vs

Georgia Tech L 17–21

Rating change−2.4

Wk 13Nov 25 · 3:30 PM ET vs

NC State L 27–30

Rating change−0.2

Wk 14Dec 3 · 8:00 PM ET vs#13

ClemsonSubway ACC Championship L 10–39

Rating change−1.7

PostDec 28 · 8:00 PM ET vs#15

OregonSan Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl L 27–28

Rating change−0.1

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2022

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2021	ACC	69 of 130	0.1	32.4	32.2	6–7	—
2020	ACC	15 of 127	15.0	42.0	27.0	8–4	—
2019	ACC	21 of 130	12.6	36.7	24.0	7–6	—
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles