ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

37th of 1338–5

Rank

37th

of 133 FBS teams

Rating

+7.4

90% range −1.7 to 16.5

Offense

34.3

19th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

26.9

66th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

8–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 8–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 2 · 7:30 PM ET vs

South CarolinaDuke’s Mayo Classic W 31–17

Rating change+1.0

Wk 2Sep 9 · 5:15 PM ET vs

App State W 40–34

Rating change−1.2

Wk 3Sep 16 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Minnesota W 31–13

Rating change+0.5

Wk 4Sep 23 · 8:00 PM ET at

Pittsburgh W 41–24

Rating change−0.8

Wk 6Oct 7 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Syracuse W 40–7

Rating change+1.9

Wk 7Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET vs#19

Miami W 41–31

Rating change0.0

Wk 8Oct 21 · 6:30 PM ET vs

Virginia L 27–31

Rating change−2.7

Wk 9Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET at

Georgia Tech L 42–46

Rating change−1.9

Wk 10Nov 4 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Campbell W 59–7

Rating change+0.9

Wk 11Nov 11 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Duke W 47–45

Rating change−0.6

Wk 12Nov 18 · 3:30 PM ET at#16

Clemson L 20–31

Rating change0.0

Wk 13Nov 25 · 8:00 PM ET at

NC State L 20–39

Rating change−1.2

PostDec 27 · 5:30 PM ET vs

West VirginiaDuke's Mayo Bowl L 10–30

Rating change−1.9

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2023

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2022	ACC	49 of 131	3.4	32.1	28.8	9–5	—
2021	ACC	69 of 130	0.1	32.4	32.2	6–7	—
2020	ACC	15 of 127	15.0	42.0	27.0	8–4	—
2019	ACC	21 of 130	12.6	36.7	24.0	7–6	—
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles