ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

63rd of 1346–7

Rank

63rd

of 134 FBS teams

Rating

+0.8

90% range −8.9 to 10.5

Offense

29.4

49th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

28.6

79th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

6–7

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 6–7

Schedule

Wk 1Aug 29 · 8:00 PM ET at

Minnesota W 19–17

Rating change−0.5

Wk 2Sep 7 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Charlotte W 38–20

Rating change−1.0

Wk 3Sep 14 · 6:00 PM ET vs

North Carolina Central W 45–10

Rating change−0.3

Wk 4Sep 21 · 12:00 PM ET vs

James Madison L 50–70

Rating change−3.3

Wk 5Sep 28 · 4:00 PM ET at

Duke L 20–21

Rating change+0.8

Wk 6Oct 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Pittsburgh L 24–34

Rating change−0.9

Wk 7Oct 12 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Georgia Tech L 34–41

Rating change−1.1

Wk 9Oct 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Virginia W 41–14

Rating change+3.6

Wk 10Nov 2 · 3:30 PM ET at

Florida State W 35–11

Rating change+3.6

Wk 12Nov 16 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Wake Forest W 31–24

Rating change−1.4

Wk 13Nov 23 · 12:00 PM ET at

Boston College L 21–41

Rating change−2.4

Wk 14Nov 30 · 3:30 PM ET vs

NC State L 30–35

Rating change−2.4

PostDec 28 · 11:00 AM ET vs

UConnWasabi Fenway Bowl L 14–27

Rating change−2.8

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2024

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2023	ACC	37 of 133	7.4	34.3	26.9	8–5	—
2022	ACC	49 of 131	3.4	32.1	28.8	9–5	—
2021	ACC	69 of 130	0.1	32.4	32.2	6–7	—
2020	ACC	15 of 127	15.0	42.0	27.0	8–4	—
2019	ACC	21 of 130	12.6	36.7	24.0	7–6	—
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles