ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

74th of 1364–8

Rank

74th

of 136 FBS teams

Rating

−2.2

90% range −12.3 to 7.9

Offense

22.9

83rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

25.1

63rd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–8

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

12 games, 4–8

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 1 · 8:00 PM ET vs

TCU L 14–48

Rating change0.0

Wk 2Sep 6 · 7:00 PM ET at

Charlotte W 20–3

Rating change−8.3

Wk 3Sep 13 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Richmond W 41–6

Rating change+1.2

Wk 4Sep 20 · 3:30 PM ET at

UCF L 9–34

Rating change−2.7

Wk 6Oct 4 · 12:00 PM ET vs#22

Clemson L 10–38

Rating change−1.7

Wk 8Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET at

California L 18–21

Rating change+0.3

Wk 9Oct 25 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Virginia L 16–17

Rating change+2.1

Wk 10Oct 31 · 7:30 PM ET at

Syracuse W 27–10

Rating change+3.6

Wk 11Nov 8 · 4:30 PM ET vs

Stanford W 20–15

Rating change−1.5

Wk 12Nov 15 · 4:30 PM ET at

Wake Forest L 12–28

Rating change+0.1

Wk 13Nov 22 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Duke L 25–32

Rating change+1.1

Wk 14Nov 29 · 7:30 PM ET at

NC State L 19–42

Rating change−0.9

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2025

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2024	ACC	63 of 134	0.8	29.4	28.6	6–7	—
2023	ACC	37 of 133	7.4	34.3	26.9	8–5	—
2022	ACC	49 of 131	3.4	32.1	28.8	9–5	—
2021	ACC	69 of 130	0.1	32.4	32.2	6–7	—
2020	ACC	15 of 127	15.0	42.0	27.0	8–4	—
2019	ACC	21 of 130	12.6	36.7	24.0	7–6	—
2018	ACC	71 of 130	−0.6	31.5	32.1	2–9	—
2017	ACC	64 of 130	1.1	30.1	29.0	3–9	—
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles