ACCTar Heels
North Carolina
Next: vs SyracuseOct 24
Rank
48th
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
90% range −1.7 to 13.8
Offense
26.3
71st: points scored vs an average team
Defense
20.3
29th: points allowed vs an average team
Record
4–2
6.9–5.1 projected over the regular season
Playoff
1%
chance to make the field
Schedule
Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.
Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Chances
Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details
- Projected record
- 7.0–5.0
- Conference record
- 4.2–3.8
- Make the playoff
- 1%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Conference title game
- 3%
- Win the conference
- <1%
- Reach the quarterfinal
- <1%
- Reach the semifinal
- <1%
- Reach the final
- <1%
- Win it all
- <1%
What’s at stake next
The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.
Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win0%25%50%75%100% Chance now
Rating this season
90% range
Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.
Past seasons
| Season | Conference | Rank# | Rating | Off. | Def. | RecordW–L | CFP entryCFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ACC | 74 of 136 | −2.2 | 22.9 | 25.1 | 4–8 | — |
| 2024 | ACC | 63 of 134 | 0.8 | 29.4 | 28.6 | 6–7 | — |
| 2023 | ACC | 37 of 133 | 7.4 | 34.3 | 26.9 | 8–5 | — |
| 2022 | ACC | 49 of 131 | 3.4 | 32.1 | 28.8 | 9–5 | — |
| 2021 | ACC | 69 of 130 | 0.1 | 32.4 | 32.2 | 6–7 | — |
| 2020 | ACC | 15 of 127 | 15.0 | 42.0 | 27.0 | 8–4 | — |
| 2019 | ACC | 21 of 130 | 12.6 | 36.7 | 24.0 | 7–6 | — |
| 2018 | ACC | 71 of 130 | −0.6 | 31.5 | 32.1 | 2–9 | — |
| 2017 | ACC | 64 of 130 | 1.1 | 30.1 | 29.0 | 3–9 | — |
| 2016 | ACC | 21 of 128 | 11.8 | 36.0 | 24.2 | 8–5 | — |
| 2015 | ACC | 18 of 128 | 13.2 | 41.3 | 28.1 | 11–3 | — |
Profile
UNC offenseFBS average
Points per drive · points per possession.